A Match Made in a Monastery: Villareal-Barcelona Preview

By: kage | January 27th, 2012
   

Guardiola 1

It must be a tough place to live in, Pep Guardiola’s head.

Pep quite frankly wants to win everything, and most of the time he has succeeded remarkably. But football life is an endless series of obstacles with sad emphasis on the word endless. Every week contains one or two difficult hurdles. But now, Pep, you’re coming to what is, no way around it, a game apparently designed by Trappist monks. The trap called Villareal.

Beware.  We've designed this game.

Beware. We've designed this game.

So you’re Pep, and it’s already a long season. You’ve already played 40 games since football resumed in July. Injuries are more plentiful than players.  The most recent news is Pedro, who has a problem with his abductor muscle (you know what an abductor is, so I won’t explain it) and is out for this match.  Alexis, who was gang-tackled in the last Real Madrid game by the gang named Pepe, has been included on the team at the last minute; I wouldn’t be surprised if Pep spared him.  Keita is off representing Mali in the African Nations Cup. Affelay, Villa, and Fontas are hurt long-term.  Over the course of the season you’ve been literally hamstrung some ten times, most recently in the case of Don Andres Iniesta, out for three weeks now (his fourth injury of his season). Next thing you know Pinto’s braid is going to get a hamstring pull.

When my braid is hurt, I fall down...

When my braid is hurt, I fall down...

So it’s a lot for you to cope with, Pep, we realize that. Take the past couple of weeks. You just barely managed to pull ahead of Betis in the 73rd minute to win. Three days later, you managed to beat Real Madrid in their (large) house. Four days after that, you had to play up-and-coming Malaga away, and you beat them too. Three days later, you withstood the assault of the angry Madridistas again and eliminated them from the Copa del Rey. Now it’s just three days later, and you have yet another game. Fortunately, it’s against Villareal. Phew.

Villareal is a little bitty team, dwarfed by their neighbor Valencia. They’re called the Yellow Submarine because (in 1947) the son of the club president went to Valencia to buy white and black kits, but the store only had yellow, so that’s what he bought. This is not, incidentally, a joke. The team reached the first division for the first time in 1998. And now they sit, 17th in the league, just one point removed from 19th. They’ve won four games all year, and just one of the past five. They score less than a goal a game. Their best striker, Giuseppe Rossi, is injured; their other great striker, Nilmar, is rumored to be headed to Sao Paolo, and he’s not playing either. Their shirts will be partly in Chinese for this match, and that’s not a joke either.

Looks like they own Marco Senna too...

Looks like they own Marcos Senna too...

But you’re Pep, and you’re not happy. Villareal has been a class act since its arrival in La Liga. Led by Forlan, Riquelme, and Pellegrini, they once reached the semi-finals of the Champions League. Forlan won the Pichichi another year. More importantly, they haven’t finished worse than eighth in La Liga in the past eight years, and five times they were in the top five. The Yellow Submarine have beaten Barca eight times since their arrival in La Liga in 1998; only one team has more wins against us in that time, and it ain’t, you know, Real Madrid. (Hint: it’s Deportivo La Coruna, with nine.)

In short, there is an excellent team hiding here, being carefully closeted by those Trappist monks. Led by Marco Rubén (six goals in eleven starts), the team has only lost once at home. And in its most recent game they blasted Sporting 3-0; Barca, you may remember, beat the same team by a solitary goal.

In this game, several injured players return for Villareal: Carlos Marchena, Mateo Musacchio, Javi Camunas, and perhaps Cristián Zapata. When they beat Sporting, Joselu was employed as a second striker. But I’d guess that they will play Ruben alone on top this time, probably in something like a 4-2-3-1. I’d also guess that Molina (who apparently was in attendance at the recent Clasico) will try pressure high up the field — until Barca learns to actually punish such pressure by breaking quickly downfield and scoring, most teams will give that a go. Many of them will exhaust themselves, but all of them will tire Barca out in return.

And what will you, the harried perfectionist Pep, do in response? Away from home, where your team’s record is by Barcian standards just plain not good? Against this good, underperforming, underrated team, coached by Trappist monks and sponsored by Chinese saboteurs?

The options up front are mighty slim. You’ve got Messi, and (surprise!) he’s playing.  Pedro’s out, but you have a few other folks whom you can use up front.  You have Fabregas, who was underwhelming and apparently tired last game, and you have Cuenca, the chinless kid who will be great but isn’t always just now. You pick Cuenca, because you’ll need energy.  On the other side, perhaps Adriano.  In midfield you don’t want to play Xavi again, but if you leave him out all you have is Busquets, Thiago (pencil both of them in), and Fabregas (let’s let him rest). So your formation would be ye olde 4-3-3, with Alves Pique Mascherano (letting Puyol rest) and Abidal; Busquets, Xavi, and Thiago; Pedro, Messi, and Cuenca.

But you are Pep, and you know that unless you do something to mix things up, this game will be as dangerous as Pepe in an ill humor. You have seen the team – even Leo – come out flat, wilted, and without passion in several away games.  So you’re going to do something different. Now I don’t know what different thing you’ll try, because I’m not Pep, and you are. Maybe you’ll try the 3-4-3, with Alves on one flank and Adriano the other in midfield. Maybe you’ll hope Alves after his amazing goal deserves a go at right wing, and Cuenca can sit.   Or, most likely, something else: Pep’s surprise.  Who knows.  You know.

I'm going in for Messi!

I'm going in for Messi!

It would be a wondrous thing if we could really ask Pep what he’s thinking, tactically. Pep is not the worst case, but the standard sporting interview nowadays is so guarded that he’s nearly useless. Messi, as you may know, is on the cover of the current Time magazine: “KING LEO,” is the headline below. The first (male) footballer ever alone on that cover! Now Leo is a godlike football player, but he’s too careful and polite to be a great interview. He was asked about his rivalry with CR7, and downplayed it: “I never really fixated on him, or compared myself with another player.” That’s interesting, but probably not altogether true. Leo also says he thinks C. Ronaldo is “a good person.” I’ve literally never heard Ronaldo called a good person; he’s just too handsome, I suppose, to be called that.

Otherwise, Leo says just about nothing. He tries to play every match as hard as he can. He wants to win the World Cup. He is happy that people like him all over the world.

The Lion (or at least leonine) King

The Lion (or at least leonine) King

It’s possible that Leo is exactly that simple – I’ve heard that on plane rides home from matches, he plays video football games. Clearly he is dedicated to the game with all his heart. But his inner thoughts remain way in there. So that’s why I have to ask you instead. What are you going to do, Pep, to keep this game out of the clutches of the Trappist monks? We’re counting on you, you know. But then we always do.

[I see a final score of 0-1.]


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  • fruitbat

    Hey, great preview! I have been missing - a bit - the intelligent commentary that I have been coming here for. I have appreciated the recent game reviews, but am I right in thinking they've been more point-by-point descriptions than reviews of the larger happenings and strategy? Anyway, I really liked this. Thanks to all of you for your hard work!

  • belmonte

    Among others there was a very important statemant in this analysis:
    "I’d also guess that Molina (who apparently was in attendance at the
    recent Clasico) will try pressure high up the field — until Barca learns
    to actually punish such pressure by breaking quickly downfield and
    scoring, most teams will give that a go." Thats the key: Against madrid, generally we tried so slow down the game against the pressing, even if there would be the chance of a counter, wrong tactics. If we would have quickly played forward in the holes, witch always leaves such a pressing, getting a goal or only a big chance, they would have been greatly discouraged to continue by this.

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